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ETH Price: Will $2.8K Spark a Rally?

ETH Price: Will $2.8K Spark a Rally?

Ethereum

Ethereum Price Analysis: The $2,800 Breakout

Ethereum (ETH) has shown significant on-chain growth, raising the possibility of a price surge. Key indicators point to increased momentum, making the $2,800 resistance level critical for the next price chapter.

  • Increased User Engagement: Weekly active addresses hit a record high of 17.4 million, indicating a surge in user engagement. Layer-2 interactions also saw a significant increase of 18.43%, amplified by a 7.55x multiplier, which points to significant adoption of scalability solutions.
  • DeFi Inflows: Ethereum's Total Value Locked (TVL) reached $86.63 billion, showcasing sustained capital inflows into Ethereum-based DeFi protocols despite recent market volatility. This suggests confidence in DeFi's long-term potential.
  • Exchange Outflows: A 1.59% decline in ETH exchange balances suggests users are moving assets to self-custody or staking contracts. This reduces sell pressure and strengthens the bullish narrative.
  • Bullish Chart Pattern: Ethereum is forming a clear inverted head-and-shoulders pattern, with the neckline resistance at $2,824. A decisive break above this level could signal a move towards $3,000.

DeFi Inflows and Sustained Growth

The increase in Ethereum's TVL, now exceeding $86 billion, signals sustained interest in Ethereum-based DeFi applications. This inflow strengthens on-chain demand and may provide considerable support for ETH prices.

DefiLlama TVL Chart

Source: DefiLlama

Exchange Outflows and Potential Supply Squeeze

The decrease in exchange balances suggests that ETH is being moved to self-custody or locked in staking, which reduces the potential for immediate selling pressure. This could lead to a supply squeeze, where even modest demand could cause significant price increases.

CryptoQuant Exchange Netflow Chart

Source: CryptoQuant

Trader Sentiment and Volatility

Volatility has decreased significantly, and Binance data shows that 64.82% of traders hold long positions. While this shows considerable bullish sentiment, it also creates a risk of an overcrowded market, potentially leading to a sharp correction if sentiment shifts.

IntoTheBlock Long/Short Ratio Chart

Source: IntoTheBlock

Inverted Head-and-Shoulders Pattern

The formation of an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern on the ETH/USD chart is a bullish sign. The neckline resistance at $2,824 is key. A successful break above this level could confirm the pattern and initiate a rally.

TradingView ETH/USD Chart

Source: TradingView

Conclusion: Will ETH Break $2,824?

Multiple indicators suggest a bullish outlook for ETH. However, the success of a sustained rally hinges on overcoming the $2,824 resistance level. Failure to do so could lead to further consolidation or a potential pullback. Keep an eye on this critical price point.

Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.

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