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Ethereum Price Crash: Bull Trap or Market Correction?

Ethereum Price Crash: Bull Trap or Market Correction?

Ethereum

Ethereum Price Plunges After Bull Trap

Ethereum (ETH) suffered a sharp 15% drop from its weekly high of $2,878, triggering concerns about a potential bull trap. This significant price correction followed a period of increased leverage and heightened market activity. With support levels under pressure, the market is now in a deleveraging phase.

The rapid price increase leading up to the drop was fueled by factors such as easing macro uncertainty, a return to risk appetite, and futures traders anticipating a breakout above $3,000. However, this proved to be a classic bull trap, causing a reset of overextended positions.

Leverage Unwinds and Market Deleveraging

The cryptocurrency market is currently undergoing a significant deleveraging process, with Ethereum experiencing the most substantial impact. Open Interest (OI) for ETH reached an all-time high of $41.45 billion on June 11th, exceeding levels seen in previous bull markets. This surge in leverage, particularly noticeable on Binance (a 38% increase in ETH OI in just five days), indicated market overheating.

This aggressive positioning, while strategically sound considering positive macroeconomic indicators and positive Bitcoin price action (BTC surging above $110,000), ultimately led to a swift and substantial price correction. Ethereum's OI subsequently dropped by nearly 14% to $35.51 billion in just three days, as traders cut losses or faced liquidations. The impact on Ethereum was significantly greater than that on Bitcoin, highlighting the effects of high leverage.

Ethereum Open Interest on Binance

Source: CryptoQuant

Smart Money and the Dip

While the market reacted with panic, some investors are taking advantage of the price drop. Data from Lookonchain shows a significant whale accumulating 48,825 ETH (approximately $127 million) at an average price of $2,605. Despite this, selling pressure remains strong, pushing ETH below the $2,600 support and reaching lows of $2,440. This further highlights the deleveraging occurring in the derivatives market.

ETH/USDT Chart

Source: TradingView (ETH/USDT)

The next few days will be critical for Ethereum's price. If the $2,400 support breaks, further price declines are likely, potentially driven by forced liquidations. The current market environment emphasizes the importance of risk management and careful consideration of leverage in the volatile cryptocurrency market.

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